SEOUL (AFP) -
Recent
satellite images suggest North Korea has completed the external
refurbishment of a shipyard dedicated to building and launching a new
class of ballistic missile submarines, a US think tank said Wednesday.
While
it is unlikely that any such vessel would become operational before
2020, the North's efforts to develop a working submarine-launched
ballistic missile (SLBM) is clearly "making progress", according to the
US-Korea Institute at Johns Hopkins University.
A credible SLBM
capability would take North Korea's nuclear strike threat to a new
level, allowing deployment far beyond the Korean peninsula and the
potential to retaliate in the event of a nuclear attack.
Last
month, one of the North's experimental GORAE-class submarines carried
out an SLBM test in the East Sea (Sea of Japan), launching a missile
that travelled around 19 miles (30 kilometres).
South Korea deemed
the test a failure as the missile appeared to have exploded, but
analysts at the US Korea Institute said it was a success.
"It was
probably intended to be limited, focusing upon the submarine's launch
systems, missile ignition sequence and initial guidance operations
rather than a full operational test," it said, predicting further
similar launches this year before a "full-range" flight test.
Satellite
pictures dated April 28, five days after the test, showed post-launch
maintenance activity being carried out on the submarine at the North's
Sinpo South Shipyard.
They also indicated that external work on
the yard's submarine construction halls had been completed, and a ramp
where new vessels are launched was nearly finished, the institute said.
"When
complete, the North will be able to build and launch submarines much
larger than the GORAE-class -- including a new class of ballistic
missile submarines," it added.
South Korea is particularly
concerned by the North's SLBM development, and its defence minister, Han
Min-Koo warned Tuesday that Seoul had been slow to respond.
"I
don't think there's much time left for us to come up with means to cope
with the threat from North Korea's SLBM," Han told a parliamentary
committee.
© 2016 AFP
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